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Sunday, February 23, 2025

F-35 deal: How much could it cost India?

Is India: At a policy crossroads?

Explore the hidden costs, technical flaws, and geopolitical risks behind India’s controversial F-35 fighter jet deal with the U.S. "A critical analysis".




A High-Stakes Gamble

India’s recent multi-billion-dollar defence pact with the U.S., including nuclear energy agreements and the contentious procurement of F-35 stealth fighter jets, has sparked fierce debate. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi hails the deal as a strategic triumph, critics argue it’s a financial albatross riddled with operational risks. This analysis unpacks the hidden pitfalls of the F-35 deal, its implications for India’s military autonomy, and why Pakistan and China might not be as threatened as headlines suggest.




The F-35: A Flawed Marvel of Modern Warfare?

Technical Glitches and Questionable Reliability

The Lockheed Martin F-35, a fifth-generation stealth fighter, boasts cutting-edge features like active electronic radar, electro-optical targeting, and radar-evading stealth coatings. However, its reputation is tarnished by persistent flaws:

  • Operational Failures: A 2024 Pentagon report revealed the F-35’s unreliability in combat simulations, citing frequent crashes, false alerts, and software malfunctions.
  • Exorbitant Costs: Operating the F-35 costs India ₹31 lakh per hour, with specialized maintenance further inflating expenses.
  • Compatibility Issues: Integrating the F-35 into India’s Russian-designed air defense infrastructure (radars, communication systems) would require overhauling 80% of existing software and hardware—a logistical nightmare.

A "White Elephant" for the U.S.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump once labeled the F-35 program a “disaster,” while Elon Musk mocked its manufacturers as “amateurs.” The U.S. now seeks to offload these jets to allies, with India as the latest target. Critics argue the deal prioritizes American profit over Indian interests.


Why the F-35 Deal Undermines India’s Strategic Autonomy

Dependence on U.S. Technology

Purchasing F-35s binds India to U.S. oversight:

  • Surveillance Risks: The U.S. will retain access to flight data, compromising operational secrecy.
  • Spare Parts Dependency: India must rely on U.S. suppliers for critical components, eroding self-reliance.

Souring Ties with Russia

The deal pressures India to abandon cost-effective Russian hardware, like the S-400 missile system, which Turkey controversially chose over the F-35. Opting for American jets risks alienating Moscow, a historic ally.


Regional Realities: Pakistan and China Unfazed

Stealth Isn’t Invisibility

While the F-35’s stealth technology reduces radar detection range (from 150 km to 70 km), it’s not foolproof. Advanced Chinese and Russian radar systems, like those deployed by Pakistan, can still track these jets.

China’s Sixth-Generation Edge

China has already tested sixth-generation fighter prototypes, while Pakistan is set to acquire fifth-generation J-20 jets. These developments negate India’s perceived air superiority, rendering the F-35 a costly catch-up effort.

Global Fifth-Gen Fighters: How the F-35 Stacks Up

Head-to-Head Comparison (F-35 vs. Su-57 vs. J-20)

Metric

F-35 (USA)

Su-57 (Russia)

J-20 (China)

Unit Cost

$80M

$50M

$110M (estimated)

Top Speed

Mach 1.6

Mach 2.0

Mach 2.2

Combat Radius

1,200 km

1,500 km

2,000 km

Stealth Efficiency

High (0.001 m² RCS)

Moderate (0.5 m²)

Moderate (0.2 m²)

Weapons Payload

8,160 kg

10,000 kg

11,000 kg

Key Advantage

Sensor Fusion

Manoeuvrability

Range & A2/AD Focus


India’s Crumbling Air Power: A Reality Check

  • Aging Fleet: India’s air force operates just 31 squadrons (550 jets), far short of the required 45. Retiring outdated MiG-21s—nicknamed “Flying Coffins”—exacerbates the gap.
  • Domestic Failures: Projects like the Tejas fighter jet, delayed by decades and engine shortages, highlight India’s struggle to indigence defence tech.

A Costly Lesson in Geopolitics

India’s F-35 gamble risks economic strain, technological dependency, and diplomatic isolation. As Henry Kissinger warned, “America’s enmity is dangerous, but its friendship can be lethal.” For Pakistan, this deal is déjà vu—a reminder of the perils of over-reliance on U.S. alliances. If history is any guide, India may soon learn that flashy hardware cannot substitute strategic foresight.


References

1.    The Hindu: “U.S. Pressure on India for F-35 Deal”

2.    Pentagon Report on F-35 Flaws (November 21, 2024)

3.    Statements by IAF Chief Marshal A.P. Singh on HAL Delays

4.    Henry Kissinger, Diplomacy (1994)

5.  F-35 May Cost $100 Billion To India!

6.    India faces crucial choice: US F-35 deal orRussian-made Su-57 fighters?


#F-35 Deal, #India-US Defence Pact, #Stealth Fighter Jets, #Indian Air Force Modernisation, #Pakistan-China Defence, #Geopolitical Risks.

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